Will the next president follow Israel with Iran?
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MAny American The presidents dreamed of bringing peace to the Middle East. Some can claim successes: Jimmy Carter Ashraf David’s agreements between Israel and Egypt in 1978; Bill Clinton is compatible with the Palestinians in 1993 and the peace treaty with Jordan next year; Donald Trump is compatible with Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Morocco in 2020.
Certainly, the next president will struggle with the war, and inherits the multi -front conflict between Israel and the Iranian “axis” that broke out during the past year. How to prevent a regional disaster, and how to avoid clouds to another “war forever”?
Kamala Harris is likely to be the embarrassing policy of President Joe Biden: supporting Israel’s right to defend itself, trying to curb its most dangerous actions, mitigating the human impact, searching for ceasefire and surviving the idea of the Palestinian state. Mr. Trump suggests that Israel should be given Cart Blanche. After Iran rained more than 180 ballistic missiles on Israel on October 1, Mr. Biden urged the Jewish state not to hit Iranian oil facilities or nuclear sites. Mr. Trump mocked this caution: “Al -Nawawi was hit first and anxious about the rest later.”
American presidents said to all lines that Iran will not be allowed to obtain nuclear weapons. However, none of them bombed Iran’s sites; Also, any Israel gives the green light to do so. This is because the costs of more amplification in the region are easy to imagine, and the rewards will be in terms of restoring the Iranian nuclear program temporarily and difficult to calculate.
Mrs. Harris or Mr. Trump did not appear the desire to use we Iran’s bombing forces. In his position, Mr. Trump abandoned a nuclear deal with Iran, imposing “maximum pressure” through sanctions, and in 2020 he ordered the killing of Qasim Soleimani, the Iranian supreme for foreign military operations. Then, as now, Hawks urged him to seize a rare opportunity to defeat the Tehran regime. But Mr. Trump was hoping for an agreement with Iranian clerics. It is worth noting that he held from the amazing Iran even when a US drone shot down and helped bomb Saudi oil facilities in 2019.
The exact question is whether the American president may enable an Israeli attack or how he enables him to attack the Israeli attack. Israel is likely to act alone with limited damage. The more America’s participation, the more military strike. Help can range from intelligence participation on targets to save the Israeli pilots, or provide air refueling to the air, or actually participate in the bombing raids. In one of these scenarios, President Trump or President Harris may give Israel Israel for military action, and in the Melly, he feels that he is forced to finish the job or at least help its ally.
However, the conflict with Iran is developing from now to January, it is certain that the next president must wrestle with the strict Israeli Prime Minister. According to a book coming from journalist Bob Woodward, Joe Biden referred to Benjamin Netanyahu as a “ridiculous false”. To judge her interview this week with CBS News, Mrs. Harris shares similar feelings. Mr. Trump was sometimes criticized by Mr. Netanyahu, not the least of which is that the Israeli Prime Minister confessed to the victory of Mr. Biden in 2020, but he lined up with Republicans who believe that Israel could not make a mistake.
The sympathy for Israel runs deeply in American policy, as the hatred of Iran does. On a question about any foreign country that was the greatest opponent of America, Mrs. Harris replied unexpectedly: “Iran has American blood at their hands.” However, Mr. Biden fought to curb Mr. Netanyahu, who played a harsh ball in negotiations to ensure a ceasefire in Gaza and ignore the unhappiness of not opening another front in Lebanon. America wiped Israel and helped drop the missiles it fired.
With his initial success against Hezbollah – whose leader, Hassan Nasrallah, and many of his military leadership – was feeling a justification. He is now talking about the “opportunity to change reality” in Lebanon and the region. He urged the Lebanese people to get rid of Hezbollah and even hints to change the regime in Iran, saying that freedom “will come sooner than people believe.”
What about peace? Assuming that wars are somehow, Mrs. Harris expressed concern about the suffering of the Palestinians, but it has not specified any plans to achieve the state. Mr. Trump does not care about their cause; His officials were supporters of the Israeli settlement in the occupied West Bank. Both of them will undoubtedly follow a deal that normalizes Israel, Soudi, who is far. But the more wars continue, the higher the price of the Saudis. ■
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