Donald Trump is preparing to launch an attack on the American immigration system

PThe art of existence Donald Trump says heinous things. However, what was angry in 2011 (which indicates that Barack Obama was born in Kenya) seems almost strange in 2024. His speech became darker. Immigrants are no longer just criminals and rapists, but rather “they allow the blood of our country.” Steps “Building Wall!” It was replaced by “send them again!” in Maga Throughout the world, legal immigrants from Haiti threaten to eat pets owned by the Springfield people in Ohio.

Trump’s obsession has formed this presidential campaign and American policy over the past nine years. There is a great chasm between the immigration policies that Trump and Kamala Harris are pursuing, but his dominant focus on this issue forced her to switch to the right to avoid appearing a weak appearance in the border security. Voter fears (61% of registered voters say that immigration is a priority for them in these elections, according to the Pew Research Center) means that working on immigration will be at the top of the list of the next president’s tasks, regardless of who will win. .

Trump and Harris will be bound by Congress, who has not reformed the Immigration Law since 1990. This is unlikely to change, regardless of the party, which will win the House of Senate and Representatives. However, as Trump and Joe Biden has shown in recent years, presidents can find ways to practice tremendous power to influence politics.

JD Vans, a candidate for the position of Trump’s deputy, claims that 25 million “foreign illegal” live in America, and said that the collective deportation plan can start removing a million people, which means that more can follow it. However, his numbers seem to be selected from nothing. Ministry of Internal Security (Ministry of National Security(It indicates that 11 million illegal immigrants lived in the country in 2022, most of them arrived before 2010. The second Trump administration will not get funding from Congress that you need to implement this large number of removal operations, but even rumors of failed raids or attempts For approximation, migrants can harm. Studies indicate that immigrant children feel more anxious and depressed during periods of increased enforcement of immigration laws.

Vans did not rule out the re -separation policy of the families that the Trump administration was following, which tried to exploit the possibility of removing children from their parents to deter the crossing illegally crossing. (In March Ministry of National Security It is believed that nearly 1,400 children have not been reunited with their families yet.) He wants to restart the “immigrant protection protocols”, a policy that would force some asylum seekers to wait in Mexico while their requests are decided. The occurrence of this is based on the extent of Trump’s harmony with the new President of Mexico, Claudia Shinbom.

During the Trump era, the increase in audit requirements and visa requests fees can slow these requests. The presidents have the power to determine the number of refugees that the country will accept every year; This number will decrease. Perhaps Trump is trying to end the matter again Daka– A program that protects against deportation migrants who are brought to the country while they are children – if the courts do not decide that it is illegal first. The appeals before the court are possible, but the second Trump administration will be learned from the first administration. The regulations will be more strictly written, and the most respectable seat may be more respectable to the presidential authority.

The immigration policy of Mrs. Harris will be a large continuity policy. Biden adopted the stick and carrot approach: opening new legal paths for immigrants wherever possible while restricting asylum on the southern border. This mix has proven successful in recent months. In 2023, the monthly meetings of migrants on the border reached record levels. It has since decreased to the lowest level since 2020, when Trump was in power.

Mrs. Harris wants to revive the Border Security Bill, which was approved by the two parties, which Trump rejected so that he could campaign to chaos. But Republicans will not have a great incentive to work with President Harris on immigration. She is the daughter of immigrants, and she hints to find ways to protect from deportation for unauthorized immigrants who lived in America for years. This may be similar to the visa program that Biden proposed to the unregistered citizens’ husbands, which is being restricted in the courts.

However, some light emerged between Harris and its president. She not only supports the borders imposed on asylum on the border, but also indicated that it would increase the difficulty of raising them. Her orientation is a recognition that Trump was winning this issue. It is also a calculated response to the fact that Americans are increasingly preferring to tighten security measures on the border. A poll conducted by the Yajov Foundation in January indicates that 32% of Democrats support the construction of a border wall, compared to 20% in 2022.

The events can change the agenda of any of the candidates. If the economy is weak, a fewer migrants will try to come. For example, unrest or economic collapse in Haiti or Venezuela may push more people towards the border. Immigration is at the heart of American policy. This is not about to change.■

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