And the next American president will be a hawk in dealing with China

ADespite Britain Although China still claims to establish a “special relationship” with the United States, no country may challenge China’s claim that it establishes the most important relationship. It will be necessary for the next President of America to take over the management of bilateral relations at a time when the rates of mutual hostility and lack of confidence will rise. He will have to direct himself with caution to avoid breaking the global economy, or much worse, to dump two great military forces in the world in an armed conflict.

Raja Krishnamurthi, a member of the Democratic Congress and the highest -ranking member of the party in the influential committee in the House of Representatives concerned with the Chinese Communist Party, defines three main issues in the file of the next president regarding China. First, how to deter conflicts, “especially in the South China Sea and the Taiwan region.” Second, “China’s use of technology for monitoring, hacking and placing malware in our vital infrastructure.” And thirdly, the “economic aggression” by China, especially “excessive ability in the green commodity sector”, as is the case in the solar energy industries and export -based electric vehicles in the country.

The strict attitude towards China is strongly supported by the two parties. Whatever the result of the elections, this will not change. Krishnamori says that Shi Jinping, the Chinese president, does not realize “the depths of people’s anger” towards the Chinese Communist Party “for any number of reasons.” Inside America, anger stems from loss of jobs due to unbalanced trade, but also from the deaths caused by Fntanil – “the fact that the vast majority of fentianel splashes come from China, and do nothing about it.”

As a result of the law that was supported by the China Falcons in Congress, it will have to be atteedance, a China -based company, to sell Tiktok, the social networking company that it owns, to an accredited owner by January 19, 2025, otherwise it will be banned in 2025. America. The company challenges the legitimacy of forced sale before the court.

Ike Freeman, a researcher in China’s affairs at the Hoover Institute, an intellectual institution, is classified as the problems facing the next president with China in three groups. It is easy for these words to be homogeneous: “Trade, Technology and Taiwan”. With regard to trade, Freeman says: “The problem of excessive ability in China is getting worse,” but the government cannot bear the collective unemployment in its economy heading abroad. The solution, which Donald Trump is proposed to impose a 60% large -scale definition on Chinese goods. Kamala Harris opposes this, but she will remain forced to manage friction with Mexico, Europe and Southeast Asian countries if it becomes larger channels for Chinese goods to America than they are already.

With regard to technology, none of the candidates will reduce the expanding export controls imposed by President Joe Biden on sensitive goods such as semiconductors. Mrs. Harris may make technocratic adjustments to the “small square, high fence” approach that Jake Sullivan, National Security Adviser, promoted by Piden. This policy is supposed to guarantee not only American military superiority, but also to control future technologies, including artificial intelligence and quantum computing. Harris is likely to remain committed to the other slogan of China’s policy adopted by the Biden administration, which is “risk eliminating, not separation.”

The Trump administration may be completely different. Robert O’Brien, a former national security adviser (and perhaps future) during the Trump era, wrote in an article in Foreign affairs This summer was published that “Washington must, in fact, seek to separate its economy from the economy of China,” which he said that Trump had already begun to do “without describing it in this way.” O’Brien is one of many “superheroes” in the republican circles – including Matt Putinger and Pompeo, and other senior personalities in the Trump administration – who are more likely to cause Chinese officials more than Democrats. Whether Trump will actually listen to them, or he will instead choose a more dealing with Xi Jinping, whom he talked about, it is a completely different issue.

Such nuances that include Washington’s Chinese factions will be of great importance when it comes to the most confused challenge: continuing to deter China from the military invasion of Taiwan. Arms sales to Taipei have increased significantly, even with official policy “strategic mystery” – deliberate uncertainty about the extent of America’s extensive intervention if it attacked China. The outbreak of a military conflict in the Strait of Taiwan between two nuclear armed forces will be terrible. It will also be an economic catastrophe and is likely to lead to global recession.

These are not the only tensions that need management. Elsewhere in the South China Sea, the Chinese Coast Guard ships, often backed by marine ships, repeatedly shocked the coast guard ships coming from the Philippines, with which America concluded an alliance treaty. Japan and South Korea are ready to stand under the American nuclear umbrella today. If you have doubts, they have the industrial and scientific ability to build their own capabilities.

It is not surprising, then, to wait for America’s allies, especially those in Asia, impatiently for the election results. And if the next president offends the management of relations with China, this will have severe consequences for everyone. ■

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