Best football betting in the college for the fourth week-how-the betr-iLAROR and IOWA-Rutgers and more
The college football week brings 4 paintings full of numbers that seem attractive at first glance, but they deepen a little, and the edges begin to reveal themselves.
Some of this match depends on the incomprehensible in the trenches, others on the pace and implementation of the red area, and some simply revolve around confidence in what we already know.
I ran through current statistics and stories, and made three cuts.
All difficulties before Espn bet
A bet to make: Tolsa +13.5
I saw this and caught myself loudly, “Why?!” Because Tolsa lost 45-10 last year? A different team.
Oklahoma rose only 17-7 in the first half against UT Martin, then it was grabbed the next week by Oregon. This is not just a slow start.
Fears there were throughout the summer: the training staff was fixed, strong dependence on transfers, and there is no installed corder and an attack line without a single start. These problems are not fixed in two games, and yet the results are lined. Running game is stuck at 3.2 yards for each pregnancy, and the attacking attack has made more objections than landing.
Tolsa is not cheerful, but it is a process with a ground game that already has 19 races of 10 yards or more. The infiltrated part is to have the second best rush to PFF even with only eight bags in three games. The golden hurricane wins the battles in the foreground, even if it does not appear completely in the degree of the square so far. This can appear against cowboy, as Zane Flores has been dismissed twice in each game.
Oklahoma should look better at home in the place of competition, but the efficiency gap is real. Tolsa has edges in the trenches and sufficient crime to keep this tight. This is I take my reading, and I watch it comes in life and the state of Oklahoma fades until it is wrong.
It’s time to ride the hurricane. I will not be shocked if they won (+380).
Bet on making: Under 45.5
Rutgers put cheerful traffic numbers within three weeks, but I do not buy that his air attack is truly superior over what Iowa showed.
Hurricanes threw 27 times against Iowa and went out with only 134 yards on 5 yards for each attempt. This is the type of Draging Drag Iowa that creates it.
Hawkeyes is built on a degree higher than 10 PFFT PAFT, generating enough pressure to collapse the pockets, forcing Qurtbbeck on short throws and taking out explosive plays. This style is completely identical to the Rutgers crime that flourished on efficiency and rhythm. Add in the defense of the Red Zone in Iowa, where opponents enjoy only five trips throughout the season and three total landing points, and it is difficult to photograph Rutgers lighting the results board the way they did against the state of Norfolk or Miami (OH).
Well, you may be wrong. Enter the season, you are excited about the Hawkeyes capabilities that have a new and improved crime. This is what it is, a heavy ground game, more than 44 hasty attempts for each contest, chewing the watch and miles in the field position. normal.
This approach reduces property, slows down the speed and makes all the drop feel like grinding. Rutgers’ Run was not great, but Iowa did not suddenly score 30 points in Big Ten Road.
The formula is clear. IOWA passes from the Rutgers game, the IOWA defense that carries in the twenties, drains the Iowa crime around the clock on the ground. This looks like a rock battle in the phone booth. What is meant.
A bet to make: Arizona state +2.5
On the roof, do you think: Baylor puts less than a field goal at home with that passive game? It looks tempting.
But this actually puts perfectly what Sun Devils do better, turn on the ball directly on you.
Arizona has one of the best rushing crimes in the country, which ranked first by PFF, which is not just size. This group is explosive with 28 runners of 10 yards. The average Raleeek Brown has reached more than eight yards for pregnancy and SAM Leavitt adds another dimension as the Gardbreak locations. When the ASU floor game descends, the defenses could not stop the schedule.
Baylor’s defense is a catastrophic, one of the worst front seventies in the country, ranked 124th in the permissible rushing arenas and 81 in treatment. Oporn rolled over 300 accelerated yards against them and even FCS discount found the corridors. If Paylor’s defense is unable to stop the first contact or conclusion, Arizona can steal control and maintain Baylor’s threat from surveillance from the margin.
In addition, ASU defenses in the Red Zone, allowing only four points of landing on nine trips. This means that Baylor engines may end in field goals, not seven points. Add that ASU has registered 11 bags so far this season, while Sawyer Robertson Baylor has been dropped four times by Oporn, and things look more clear. The edge can occur in pressing all the difference when the sun is mixed with demons with the action of anti -fodder or a good timing.
ASU can win this explicitly, so prepare demons this week.