How to weave the White House “weak” and “non -crucial” studies to connect Tilanol to autism Donald Trump
The White House recently issued a press statement with links to Scientific studies to support Trump’s claim This is the use of acetaminophen, usually referred to as Tilanol, during pregnancy causes autism, but these studies only provided “weak” and “non -crucial” evidence, according to doctors who have experience in reviewing medical research who spoke to the guardian.
Jeffrey Singer, surgeon and older colleague at the Kato Institute Written on the claims of Tilanol/AutismHe said that the links in the white statement showed that allegations contain a political spin.
Singer said the version creates the appearance of additional evidence by linking with the same studies several times. The latest study was cited – a Review paper It was published in August by authors of Mount Sinai and Harvard – to look like two separate studies, one from Harvard and one from Mount Sinai. A Study the birth of birth in Boston Johns Hopkins was also composed twice in the version, as if they were two separate studies.
So she says that Harvard’s study found the same thing as the Hopkins study and the study of Mount Sinai. It can give the appearance that [the same results have] It was achieved in the study after another, all of this from very prominent centers.
Jake Scott, a physician and member of the Consulting Consulting Committee in Stanford, said the press statement “makes me sick in my stomach, to be honest”, because “they provide a link as one reason.”
There is a much higher tape to prove causation from the link. In this case, proof of causal means showing that eliminating exposure to a teleinol would actually reduce the number of autism.
For example, the high sales of ice cream may be associated with stroke, simply because both are something that happens in the summer, but the prohibition of selling ice cream will not reduce the number of strokes. To prove the causal relationship, it is not sufficient to show that there is another occurrence – these results must appear again and again in a variety of study designs, and scientists also need to find a reasonable explanation on how workers are linked.
Any of the studies associated with the press statement claims to have proven to be causal.
In reality, all they Their confession they cannot do so certainly The causal position, although some use a more careful formula than others. One of the ways to find the scope of study demands is quickly searching for major terms such as “causation”, “causation”, “association”, “restrictions”, “caution” and “additional investigation”, according to the experts.
Experts said once you start reading studies, more data in the press statement begins to collapse. For example, the version states: “Scholars have Proposal The biological mechanisms that link the exposure to prenatal tool to change the development of the brain and the consequences of negative birth. “Biological mechanisms that explain how exposure leads to a result is an important way to prove causation. It took decades In order for scientists to prove that cigarettes cause cancer through the biological mechanism of introducing cancers into the lungs, which create cancerous mutations in the cells, for example.
but An associated study In the release to clarify a biological mechanism, it does not actually include a biological mechanism, but the opposite. The authors write: “The mechanisms behind the bonds of exposure to before birth with negative birth results are still unknown.” In addition, the study did not examine the “change of brain development” at all, as the press statement pointed out, but instead it only looked at the results related to the weight of birth and the age of pregnancy.
The singer and silence agree that there is another way to verify the scientific allegations of the Trump administration is to consider the research that is excluded from the conversation.
For example, the press statement derived a Swedish study Posted in 2024. The singer said: “This is a study in which they followed nearly a million and a half million births … They used brotherhood controls.” So what they found is that acetaminophen [the generic name for Tylenol] Using during pregnancy showed a slight association [with autism]But the singer explained that this bond disappears when the siblings are compared, who have many genetic and environmental similarities more than comparison groups in other studies.
Swedish study authors wrote: “This indicates that the links that were observed in other models may be attributed to confusion.” This means that Tilanol is likely not to be himself, but other factors are related to the use of Tilanol (which can, for example, more fever during pregnancy) that created risks.
“This is a very wonderful study,” said Singer. “I do not say that they are also right. What I say as a doctor reads research literature, this question has not yet been answered.”
The singer says it is possible that there is a reason why the White House has included some studies, not others: By September. “
Tilanol’s claims remind the arguments against vaccines, according to Scott, who recently witnessed the Congress of the article against allegations that vaccines cause chronic diseases – claims based on a study that has never been submitted for publication due to the defects in its design.
“All of this is part of the truly weak and truly poor evidence of studies.” Scott said. “