Initially, Trump officials intervened in South Asia with nuclear fears growth
As the conflict between India and Pakistan has escalated, Vice President JD Vance Fox News told Thursday that “none of our actions.” He pointed out that the United States can advise both sides to decline, but this was not the battle of America.
However, within 24 hours, Mr. Vans and Marco Rubio, in his first week, found the double role of the National Security Adviser and the Foreign Minister, themselves in the details. It was the same reason that prompted every president since Bill Clinton to deal with another major conflict between the two enemies in 1999: the fear of becoming a nuclear quickly.
What prompted Mr. Vans and Mr. Rubio to work was evidence that the Pakistani and Indian Air Force had begun to engage in dangerous battles, and that Pakistan had sent 300 to 400 drones to Indian lands to investigate its air defenses. But the most important causes of concern came late on Friday, when the explosions struck the Noor Khan Air Force Base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, the city of the garrison adjacent to Islamabad.
The rule is a major installation, one of the central transport centers of Pakistan and the homeland is the ability to equip at air fuel that will keep Pakistani fighters high. But it is also a short distance from the headquarters of the Pakistani strategic plans department, which oversees and protects the country’s nuclear arsenal, which is now believed to include about 170 or more warheads. The warheads are supposed to spread throughout the country.
The intense fighting broke out between India and Pakistan after 26 people, most of whom were Hindu tourists, were killed in a terrorist attack on April 22 in Kashmir, a border area claimed by both countries. On Saturday morning, President Trump announced that the two countries agreed to a ceasefire.
On Saturday, former former US officials indicated that Pakistan’s deepest fear is from the nuclear driving authority that is beheading. The former official said the missile strike on Nour Khan could have been explained, as a warning that India could do so.
It is unclear whether there is an American intelligence indicating a rapid, and possibly nuclear escalation, from the conflict. At least in public places, one part of the clear nuclear signals came from Pakistan. Local media reported that Prime Minister Shaybaz Sharif had called for a meeting of the National Command Authority – the small group that makes decisions on how to benefit from nuclear weapons.
The body was established in 2000, chaired by the Prime Minister, and includes senior civil ministers and heads of military personnel. In fact, the driving force behind the group is the commander of the army, General Sayyid Aim Monir.
But the Pakistani Defense Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, denied that the group had ever met. He spoke on Pakistani television on Saturday before the announcement of the ceasefire, he confessed to the presence of the nuclear cucumber, but he said: “We must deal with it as a very far possibility; we should not even discuss it.”
It was discussed in the Pentagon, and by Friday morning, the White House had clearly decided that some general data and some invitations to officials in Islamabad and Delhi were not enough. The interventions taken by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had no little impact.
According to one person who is familiar with the events that were unveiled and that were not authorized to speak publicly, after Mr. Vance suggested that the foreign conflict was not the problem of America, the serious fears that developed in the administration that the conflict was at risk of control.
The pace of strikes and provinces were picked up. While India initially focused on what was called “well-known terrorist camps” linked to Askar-Tayeba, a strict blaming group on the April attack, which was now targeting Pakistani military bases.
The Trump administration was also concerned that the messages attached to the escalation did not reach senior officials on both sides.
So US officials decided that Mr. Vans, who returned two weeks before a trip to India with his wife, Osha, and the parents of Indian immigrants, should invite Prime Minister Narendra Modi directly. His message was that the United States has evaluated a great possibility of a great escalation of violence that could turn into a widespread war.
Through the American account, Mr. Vance pressed Mr. Modi to consider alternatives to the ongoing strikes, including the potential slope that US officials believed would be acceptable to the Pakistanis. Mr. Modi listened to him, but he did not adhere to any of the ideas.
Mr. Rubio, according to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, spoke with General Moner, an easier conversation through his new role as a national security consultant. During the past quarter, the White House had often served, if quietly, as a direct channel for the Pakistani army, the most powerful institution in the country.
Mr. Rubio, Pakistani Foreign Minister, Isaac Dar, and the Minister of National Foreign Affairs of India, also called. Jaishhankar, who met on January 22 in Washington.
It is not clear how persuaded him, at least in the beginning.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not retain a journalist on Saturday about the content of these calls, and instead issued nude descriptions of the talks that did not give any feeling of dynamics between Mr. Rubio and South Asian leaders. But it seems that the continuous flow of calls from Friday evening to the early Saturday sets the basis for a ceasefire.
A Pakistani intelligence official has not been permitted to publicly comment on negotiations, and is due to the involvement of Americans over the past 48 hours, especially Mr. Rubio, to conclude the agreement. But from Saturday night, there were reports that the cross -border shooting was continuing.
Mr. Sharif, the Prime Minister, focused on the role of the American President. “We thank President Trump for his leadership and pre -emptive peace in the region,” he wrote about X.
On the other hand, India did not recognize any participation in the United States.
It is not clear that the ceasefire will carry, or that the damages that occurred may not lead to more revenge. Pakistan broke five Indian planes, through some accounts. (The Indian side did not comment on its losses.)
A senior official said that Pakistani intelligence assessed that India was trying to challenge Islamabad to overcome a defensive response. The official said that India wanted Pakistan to use its F-16 fighter aircraft in a retaliatory attack so that they could try to drop one. The planes were sold by the United States because Pakistan is still officially considered a “major ally of NATO”, the head of the situation, George W. Bush, who gave the country in the months that followed the September 11 attacks.
The great Pakistani intelligence officer said that the American intervention is necessary to withdraw the two sides from the edge of the war.
The official said: “The last step came from the president.”