Senator Virginia, the ruler of race, comments as “Belweether” by Trump’s supervisor

Senator Tim Kane, a democratic in Virginia, said on Sunday that the Ruler of his term this fall will be the first “Belweether” test for the new Trump administration and the “Return of Democracy” scale.

Newsweek Contact the telecommunications teams in the National Democratic Committees and the Republic to comment via e -mail on Sunday.

Why do it matter

Virginia and New Jersey are the only states to carry the state governor’s races this year and will be the first major government elections to be held after President Donald Trump’s second term.

Virginia may be seen as “Belweether”, which indicates political trends and the feeling of voters. For the Republicans, the elections will be a test if they can keep some voters who won it in 2024. Meanwhile, this will also be a major measure of Democrats as they sought to restore the land during the next few years.

What do you know

On Sunday, Ken CNN told Union case Participated host Jake Taber said that the next ruler’s race in Virginia “will be the first Belwether test for a democratic return and I really feel satisfied now.”

His comments came after Taber Kane asked about the status of the Democratic Party and politics in the mother country of Kane, which Senator said: “In Virginia, we moved from one of the most ruby ​​red states in the country to the election situation now voices behind the Democrats five elections in a row. Kane won A third term last November, overcoming the competitor of Trump Hong Kao competitor.

Virginia elections for the ruler tend to influence the party in the White House, where Democrats usually won when the Republican is in office. Republican Glenn Yongkin became ruler in 2021 during the era of President Joe Biden, and Democrat Ralph Northham won during Trump’s first presidency.

Kane said on Sunday that Youngkin won the race “by 1.8 percent – the last two Republicans who won the ruler in Virginia won comfortable double numbers.

Republican conservatives, Bob McDunil and Jim Gilmore, won more than 17 percent and a margin of 13 percent.

Youngin is limited at the end of the year, so the race will be an open competition that can serve as a test of feelings towards Trump and the Democratic Party. On Saturday, the National Democratic Committee (DNC) was elected Ken Martin as its new president.

Kane, who held the position of his colleague in Hillary Clinton against Trump in the 2016 presidential election, said he felt “really good in our chances” in the Ruler’s race, adding that “we have just taken the Legislative Council Councils, we have a great candidate for the ruler.” Virginia and the Senate State Board of Directors is controlled by both the slim democratic majority.

Who are the ruling Virginia candidates?

While the party’s introductory elections on June 17 will determine the candidates, it appears that each party has an early favorite: andThe American Democratic Democratic Representative, Ibil Spanberger, and Republican Lieutenant Winsum Earl. If either of them wins, they will become the first ruler of the state.

Emerson College/Hill College, which included 1,000 registered voters in Virginia, who were conducted from January 6 to 8, found that Spanberger was firm 1 percentage point before cars, from 42 to 41 percent. The survey, which contains a margin of error in plus or minus 3 percentage points, found that 13 percent of the voters were not resolved and 4 percent support another person.

Newsweek He arrived at Spanberger and Earle-Seers for Email on Sunday.

At the present time, no other Democrats announced their campaigns, although the actor Bobby Scott did not rule out the tour, Virginia pilot It was mentioned in January. Former Merle Rutledge candidate is working in the Republican Candidate Candidate, but Earle -sers is seen as a party player.

What people say

John Vehry, a partner at EFB Advocacy, previously told Newsweek In an email: “Virginia will be difficult because it is in fact a blue state despite the crust of the purple state, more than that because Trump wants to reduce the government workforce significantly … So I do not think that the Republicans will do it well, but if they do that, then this means that we have Real reorganization elections in 2024. “

Kevin Madden, a great partner in the Genta Group, said, Newsweek In December: “Both New Jersey and Ferjenia competitions provided an opportunity to reset their mission while researching their political alliance.”

Spencer Kimal, CEO of Emerson College Bolling, said in part last month, said Spence Kimal, CEO of Emerson College Bolling last month, “Ten months before the 2025 Virginia elections, the race is generally narrow but with clear demographic differences.”

What happens after that

The dead end will be determined on November 4, 2025.