The European Union is Colosos. Why does he wander before Trump like a mouse? | Alexander Hurst
WHo remembers the “Introduction Videos” series that appeared during the Trump’s first-series of tongue clips in the cheek around European countries to introduce Donald Trump? The direction of the viral video was I was ignited by the Dutch comedian Arsen Lubbash, who ended Sche on the Netherlands With: “We fully understand that it will be America first, but can we just say the second Netherlands?” European leaders seem to remember videos well; They absorbed the caustic message a little.
For fear of shaking the boat during its commercial negotiations with Trump, the European Union decided to sink itself prevention. Instead of strategic autonomy, it will spend Hundreds of billions From dollars on American weapons; Instead of future climate goals, hundreds of billions in American natural gas will pour Instead of reducing the mutual tariff, it will take great success from the European Union exporters; Instead of self -esteem, insulting prostration.
The new commercial “deal” announced by Trump and Orrsola von der Lin last month the five -year -old thinking. Why does the European Union, Colosos, think it is a mouse? Why is just a content for the edges on the edges of power? Will it respect itself as much as China respects, which Trump meets the customs tariff until you decline? Why does its politicians not understand that the voters want the leaders who defend them, and that, as is the case for Mark Carney, Mark Carne and Louise Vesio Lula Da Silva from Canada, there are already electoral rewards that avoid her to do so without reserves? Why, even after Britain’s exit from the European Union, do they ignore the lesson that these voters give the same identity and emotion to the cold economic rationality?
European Union Be able to Trump called a trick. The problem is that, as Emmanuel Macron commentedThe European Union is not “afraid enough.” However, it contains much greater than China against the American economy. If published, the European Union Sagittilation anti -tool It would enable it to finish the future manufacturing of the most advanced semiconductors in the United States by turning off exports, transforming the AI Stargate AI project with a value of $ 500 billion into a bridge between galaxies anywhere. American technology dominance can be shattered in the long run by imposing taxes on Silicon Valley customers, which prevents them from reaching the markets and removing intellectual property protection. It can be severely disrupted by the supplies of Americans from Ozmpic and Wegovy for good management.
Is this a spiral? Undoubtedly – but as a weaker technical player, it can be said that the European Union has less to lose and more in the end. plus, Europeans hate Trump It may unite in the face of a complete trade war, while the Americans-half of them He also hates Trump – no.
We tend to take the European Union a minor from it, but there is a fermentation of anger amid an inherent pride. The first European politician tells Trump about his place-a raw, unpleasant, and very public way-will browse a wave of unprecedented feelings and support.
Is this far and unrealistic? probably. but Everything About Trump is far and unrealistic. Why are we ready to accept-expect, even-border behavior, shocking from the United States, but not from ourselves? The surrender to Trump’s demands is an entity that still believes that the United States is a harmful friend of recovery, fear and fear, all while the United States sees under Trump and Europe’s treatment as a weak and naive thing to manipulate and exploit it. Well, congratulations, Europe has proven properly – and ensuring that Trump and his ilk will return to the second round of ransom demands and threats. In fact, they are already, with US Minister of Trade, Howard Lottenic, Going after technology regulations in the European Union After the deal.
Europe may not like it, but the world has changed. In this new era, Russia, China and the United States want to return to the areas of influence and power ruling instead of the rule of law, only with varying appetite for chaos (Russia) in exchange for stability (China). Within this mysterious image, Trump is a genius to sprain passion for its purposes, but it is also very ignorant, intellectually incompatible and follows instincts similar to the Maviso on how to use the strength he enjoys, with the final result of undermining it more quickly.
The European Union is the only important power that left a deep desire for a world that is committed to the rule of law. This does not mean that it is only The actor who wants this – the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea and Japan joined, especially when it comes to the climate, a group of other countries that are likely to lead Brazil.
Despite decades, although Europe has enchanted the story in which the United States revolves. As a result, it is now in Thral to America a dark story. This is a bad place for Europe to be. Not only economist, but geologically, because its dependence on the United States (and the fear that Trump will fall Ukraine at the deep end) leaves it in a place of hypocrisy in terms of potential global partners: unwilling to support international law against Benjamin Netanyahu in all gas while reviving it properly in the response of Vladimir Bhutan.
There is a turning point on the horizon-or may have just reached-where the Europeans will have to ask themselves, what is the purpose of the European Union to ever to teach half of the measures, choose the slightest shared division between its internal departments, and frequent surrender? The right -wing nationalists have an answer: There is no real union at all, a future of VASSALAGE and endless trucks for universal connection.
What is the federal answer? This is not just a nice intellectual exercise. I do not want to live in a world in which the aggressors hold the land when they want, as the genocide goes without deterrence, as the climate crisis revolves around control and where the extremist right -wing tyranny is rooted.
The answer should be that the European Union begins to believe in itself, instead of the narration that revolves brilliantly. This means that the GDP of the individual explodes as a measure of prosperity. This means including the climate crisis as a context in every economic discussion, for the same reason that makes the feeding poster that did not mention the sugar content will not have meaning. Europe’s economic activity is among The least intense carbon in the world; The World Trade Organization is broken, so why not reorganize global trade – among those who want, and excluding unwillingness – about the price of carbon, using the current emissions system in the European Union as a starting point?
This means removing Right -right complaint The two countries “send” money to the European Union by replacing national contributions with the average corporate tax rate for their members, along with Wealth taxes and Great technology taxes. This means that overcoming the internal sensitivity to spending money is not of international importance, because almost every field in which the European Union in the United States feels ready to spend – or not. The European Union changes the major technology companies in the United States, but there is no secret sauce here outside the investment. Take space for example, where, again, the United States is dominant. How can anything else be when NASA The budget of 2023 was 25 billion dollars And the European Space Agency It was 7 billion euros? Time instead of offering a budget worthy of real geopolitical power, and investing in long -term economic, environmental and political success.
Finally, this means copying one thing from Trump’s book: DGAF. Or, for polite pages of the guardian, “less care”. As in, if a spokesperson for Von Der Leyen reads this, the next time you hold a press conference, you can shoot all public criticism: “The European Commission President may not be a great negotiating, but at least it is not a sexual predator or a convict.”