The movement of Trump has leaders. What about followers?

ZEOFF DUNCAN He knew the “monster” from the inside. Before the 2020 elections, he installed in a Limozine that the president called whenever Donald Trump came to Atlanta. But when Mr. Trump claimed that the Georgia elections had been forged, Mr. Denkan, then the governor of the state, attached him. The death threats of Trump’s loyalists arrived. Mr. Denkan chose not to run for his re -election after watching the former president, “Hijack the Agenda,” in the Georgia Legislative Council and “multiple multiple sessions” by injuring the legislators with his obsession with voting.

In August, Mr. Denkan joined a choir of Republican politicians who were carrying a campaign against Mr. Trump when he supported Kamala Harris on stage at the Democratic National Congress. He says about sitting in the green room waiting for his first time: “It was like the first day to be circulated from Yanxiz to Red Sox.” Since then, Liz Cheney, who was previously a strong Republican in the House of Representatives, and her father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, said that they would also vote for Mrs. Harris.

However, the anti -Trump anti -Conservative movement is not embodied not. Four years ago, Joe Biden’s victory contributed to the thousands of Americans who voted for Mr. Trump in 2016. They were encouraged to do so by a group of generals, press officers and administration officials who worked during the era of Mr. Trump during his presidency. Democrats, funded by groups such as the Lincoln project, is a conservative PileTo run the right -wing colleagues’ warning ads from Mr. Trump’s tendencies and preaching to authoritarian power.

This time about the effect of movement seems more complete. Mr. Trump launched a campaign to take revenge against the Republicans who voted for his isolation. Trump -backed candidate made Mrs. Cheney to 37 points in the Republican primaries in 2022. When Mitt Romney announced last year that he would not run again, the movement lost her legs in the Senate. The question in 2024 is whether the voices of its leaders will be charged in the battlefield countries.

They will definitely try. Republican voters in the session against Trump are planning to spend $ 40 million on broadcasting certificates in the previously swing states-Maga Voters, which will be four times more than 2020. The Lincoln project targets two blocs for voters who hoped to turn it. One of them is “Red Dawn” (which was called the Cold War movie in which Russians invade America), and children’s employees who have reached age politically during the presidency of Ronald Reagan and are uncomfortable with Mr. Trump with Russia. The other is “Dobbs Dads”, the generation of the Millennium Conservatives are struggling to justify the ban on abortion to their daughters. Activists believe that listening to more people such as Mr. Dunkan will create a “permission” structure for voters to leave the ticket head empty quietly or throw a vote for Mrs. Harris.

“Cheese” on Kamala

However, the movement that never wanders is divided if it should be explicitly supported Mrs. Harris. Stephen Hayes, co -founder of sendIt is an oath port on the Internet, insisting that journalists in its orbit should warn the Americans against the threat of Mr. Trump without resorting to “party reinforcement” by supporting the democratic candidate. Bat Tome, a former Senator of Pennsylvania and “Never shown”, says he will not vote for a candidate, and most of them are contempt for Mrs. Harris’s economic policies. “It is very likely that the result will be very bilateral, but this does not mean that my choice necessarily is.”

Sarah Longwell, who runs Republican voters against Trump and published bulwarkAnother news outlet, calling for this type of cheese that I have seen playing again and again in the Republican Party. more.

Charlie Sykes, a former conservative host, the author of “How He lost his mind”, says Never-TROM has become “the movement of leaders without followers.” weekly Economist/Yougov surveys show that since 2016, the percentage of Republicans planning to vote for Mr. Trump has increased from about 80 % to 90 %. When it comes to swinging voters, most importantly, that the share of independents with republican inclinations who plan to support has been pushed slightly to the top since April, but in general it has hardly slipped since 2020. Why?

The most compatible Republican traditionalists are compatible with retirees who have already intersecting partisan lines. Eight years later, those who remain in the big old party may be less affected by its old timing. Kyle Condc of Politics Center at the University of Virginia says, the convincing voters tend to be less interested.

He sits in his back courtyard in Forseth Province, the richest of Gurgia, Mr. Denkan contemplates his future. He hopes that his colleagues in Georgia will admit the wrong man if Mr. Trump loses again. On the other hand, “If this entire Republican is exploding on itself, then there may be a place for me there,” referring to the Democratic Party. In October, he will go on the way with Mrs. Harris.

But campaigns come with risks. Two weeks ago, Sharif called a town and told Mr. Dunkan not to go home one night. Someone in the claim called that there was a sniper waiting for its surface. ■

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